Today, we’ve asked David G. Myers to share his Tip of the Week. After the stock market drops, we say it was due for a correction. After a nail-biting game, we fault the losing coach for the obviously ...
Hindsight bias is a well‐documented cognitive phenomenon whereby individuals perceive past events as having been more predictable than they actually were. This bias manifests through memory ...
Last week we explored the cycle of denial, bargaining and panic that often unfolds once a market bubble bursts. Investors who once believed they were brilliant eventually face losses they can’t ignore ...
Hindsight is always 20/20, but life is about making educated guesses and rolling with the punches. We’ve all experienced moments in the aftermath of a decision or event where we wonder if we are on ...
Monday Morning Quarterbacking often provides valuable lessons in hindsight, yet it can also oversimplify the complexities of real-time decision-making. The concept of being a “Monday Morning ...
MINOT — I was gut-punched after I read the sentencing memo federal prosecutors filed against former state Sen. Ray Holmberg. There were no real surprises in the document. I knew his crimes were ...
Do you have confirmation/hindsight bias? Many traders will believe that their skills, and techniques are crafted from years of analysis, but the reality is few traders go out of their way to find ...
While courts have often warned that hindsight bias should be avoided when assessing whether a patented invention would have been obvious to the skilled person, the application of this principle can be ...
Human biases—whether cognitive, emotional, or psychological—often result in suboptimal investment decisions. Cognitive biases, such as confirmation bias, stem from mental shortcuts we use to process ...
Antiwar liberals last week got to savor the four most satisfying words in the English language: "I told you so." This was after a declassified National Intelligence Estimate asserted that the war in ...
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