We use multivariate unobserved components models to estimate trend and cyclical components in gross domestic product (GDP), credit volumes, and house prices for the USA and the five largest European ...

Milton Friedman and the Monetarists believed that fluctuations in the money supply caused the boom-and-bust business cycles.

Thomas Kevin Swift has packed insights gathered over a long career in industrial economics into A History of American Business Cycles, a book released earlier this year. The book tackles large volumes ...

Making sense of the economy requires more than just tracking the latest data—it demands a framework for connecting the dots. The good news is that the economy doesn’t move in random spurts—it follows ...

Seasonal businesses routinely encounter a range of financial and operational challenges. Navigating economic factors such as fluctuating tariffs threatening the cost of goods and immigration ...

Discover Bloomberg Economics' latest analysis on key issues, including the significance of downward job revisions and the ...